MARKET

Market Opportunity

Growth driven by consumer demand, environmental necessity and government incentives.

The 8 million electric vehicles on the road internationally in 2019 are expected to increase to 50 million by 2025 and almost 140 million vehicles by 2030. 1 

EV sales are expected to reach almost 14 million vehicles in 2025 and 25 million vehicles in 2030. 1 

India’s government announced last year that only electric two and three-wheel vehicles would be allowed by 20252  and their charging infrastructure is being expanded to support this.

As of 2018 India has about 1.5 million battery-powered, three-wheeled rickshaws on its roads. Some 11,000 new ones hit the streets each month, creating a US $1.5 billion market.3

1. International Energy Agency, Global EV Outlook 2020

2. CNN Business, March 25, 2020

3. Bloomberg. Retrieved 28 October 2018

Market DEMAND

Demand will likely outpace current EV production levels for at least the next 10 years.

Between 2019 and 2027, the size of the global electric vehicle market is expected to increase almost five-fold to reach an estimated global market size of some $803 billion USD by 2027. This translates to a notable compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 20 percent between 2019 and 2027. 1

EV sales are expected to reach almost 14 million vehicles in 2025 and 25 million vehicles in 2030. 2

For comparison, the combined annual production of GM, Ford, Toyota and VW is 30.8 million vehicles.

1 Statista, March 2021

2. CNN Business, March 25, 2020

You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.

Buckminster Fuller

Countries around the world have set aggressive targets for phasing out ICE’s (internal combustion engines) and incentivizing EV’s.

CHINA

25% EV’s by 2025

JAPAN

20-30% BEV’s by 2030

KOREA

33% BEV/FCEV’s by 2030

PAKISTAN

90% EV’s by 2040

DENMARK

1 Million EV’s by 2030

FRANCE

660,000 BEV’s by 2023

GERMANY

7-10 million BEV/FCEV’s by 2030

IRELAND

500,000 EV’s by 2030

ITALY

4 million BEV’s by 2030

NORWAY

100% Zero Emission Vehicle sales by 2030

UK

50-70% EV by 2030

CANADA

825,000 ZEV’s by 2030

US

3.3 Million ZEV’s by 2030

Global EV Outlook, Electric Vehicles Initiative (EVI) of the International Energy Agency, June 2020

HEV: hybrid electric vehicle

PHEV: plug-in hybrid electric vehicle

BEV: battery electric vehicle

ZEV: Zero Emmission Vehicle

FCEV: fuel cell electric vehicle

MARKET INCENTIVES

Government incentives will continue to drive sales around the world.

As of 2019, the U.S. government had 645,000 vehicles that were driven 4.5 billion miles and consumed 375 million gallons of fuel. About 35% of those vehicles were operated by the U.S. Postal Service, according to the General Services Administration (GSA).

The Biden administration has announced plans to replace the government’s current fleet of cars and trucks with electric vehicles assembled in the U.S.1

The Federal government in the US offers tax credits of 10% up to $2,500 for 3-wheeled electric vehicles, and individual states like Oregon and California offer subsidies up to $5,000.2

The Indian government has budgeted $1.5B US in subsidies towards helping buyers acquire 500,000 3-wheeled e-vehicles.3

In Norway, the country with the largest per-capita penetration of EV’s, there are many government incentives in place including; zero purchase/import taxes; exemption from 25% VAT; no annual road tax; no charges on toll roads or ferries and free municipal parking, among many others. 4

1. The current standards require a vehicle’s parts be at least 50% from the U.S.
2. IRS, 30D(g) subsidies
3. The Economic Times of India, Feb 11, 2021
4. Norwegian Electric Car Association website, 5/28/2021

In short, many governments are actively encouraging buyers to look at EV’s as an alternative to ICE vehicles.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Click to enlarge

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